Quarterly Investment Update - 1st Quarter 2019

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Economic Commentary -

Although there are no signs apparent of an imminent recession in the U.S. or other major global economies, there is some uncertainty whether this is a brief period of moderating global growth or an extended slowdown.

In the U.S., slower growth was evident among several recent economic releases, including a 19-month low for service sector growth; an 18-month low for ADP private sector job growth (missing estimates by -22%); and the first decline among durable goods orders in four months with a drop of 1.6%. The U.S. inflation rate also dropped unexpectedly. Slowing economic growth portends lower earnings growth, which happens to coincide, or perhaps is, in large part, the result of the U.S./China trade dispute.

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DISCLAIMER: Because of the generality of this update, the information provided herein may not be applicable in all situations and should not be acted upon without specific legal advice based on particular situations.

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